Peramalan Jumlah Wisatawan Nusantara di Kota Tomohon Menggunakan Regresi Linear
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Abstract
Tourism is a strategic sector that has an important role in promoting regional economic growth through increased local revenue and job creation. The province of North Sulawesi, especially the city of Tomohon, has superior tourism potential in the form of natural beauty and cultural wealth which is the main attraction for Indonesian tourists. Historical Data show a trend towards an increase in the number of tourist visits from 2015 to 2024, despite a significant decrease in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to predict the number of tourists visiting the city of Tomohon archipelago using simple linear regression. Based on the results of the analysis, the regression equation y = 276,756 + 23,468 X was obtained, which showed that the number of tourists increased on average by 23,468 people per year. Using this model, the prediction of the number of Indonesian tourists visiting Tomohon City in 2025 is around 534,904 people. The results of this forecasting are expected to provide useful information for the development of sustainable and competitive tourism.
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Siwi, V., Polii, M., Tambayong, F., Wowiling, A., Kelen, D., Bungangu, P., Hamid, H., Mangobi, J., & Maukar, M. (1). Peramalan Jumlah Wisatawan Nusantara di Kota Tomohon Menggunakan Regresi Linear. SOSCIED, 8(2), 409-415. https://doi.org/10.32531/jsoscied.v8i2.965
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
LPPM Politeknik Katolik Saint Paul Sorong
References
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Sugiyono. (2018). Metode Penelitian Kuantitatif, Kualitatif, dan R&D. Alfabeta.
Ginting, A., Nurdin, & Agusniar, C. (2024). Performance Analysis of SVM and Linear Regression for Predicting Tourist Visits in North Sumatera. International Journal of Engineering, Science and Information Technology, 5, 101–108. https://doi.org/10.52088/ijesty.v5i1.667
Juanta, P., Parsaoran, S. T., Purba, W., Zai, Y. F., & Ghozali, E. (n.d.). Penerapan Metode RegresiLinear Memprediksi Tingkat Penjualan Sepeda Motor Honda pada PT. Platina Mulia Abadi. Jurnal TEKINKOM, 6(2), 2023. https://doi.org/10.37600/tekinkom.v6i2.941
Karomah, B. (n.d.). Aplikasi Metode Regresi Linier Sederhana untuk Memprediksi Kedatangan Jumlah Wisatawan Mancanegara Pasca Pandemi Covid-19. 4. https://ejournal.uinib.ac.id/jurnal/index.php/MAp/article/view/4933
Makridakis, S. G., Wheelwright, S. C., & Hyndman, R. J. (1998). Forecasting: Methods and Applications (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Hijriani, A., Muludi, K., Ain Andini, E., Ilmu Komputer, J., Lampung Jln Soemantri Brojonegoro, U., & Lampung, B. (2016). IMPLEMENTASI METODE REGRESI LINIER SEDERHANA PADA PENYAJIAN HASIL PREDIKSI PEMAKAIAN AIR BERSIH PDAM WAY RILAU KOTA BANDAR LAMPUNG DENGAN SISTEM INFORMASI GEOFRAFIS. Jurnal Informatika Mulawarman, 11(2), 37. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.30872/jim.v11i2.212
Handoko, Y., Satria, E., & Nursifa, F. S. (2024). Prediksi Jumlah Pengunjung Pariwisata di Kabupaten Garut Menggunakan Algoritma Regresi Linear. https://jurnal.itg.ac.id/index.php/algoritma
Walpole, R. E. (1995). Pengantar Statistika.
Asari, A., Zulkarnaini, Z., Hartatik, H., Anam, A. C., Suparto, S., Litamahuputty, J. V., Dewadi, F. M., Prihastuty, D. R., Maswar, M., & Syukrilla, W. A. (2023). Pengantar Statistika. PT Mafy Media Literasi Indonesia.
Henny Yulius. (2021). Peramalan Kunjungan Wisatawan Mancanegara di Sumatera Barat pada Saat Pandemi COVID-19. Surya Teknika, 8. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.37859/jst.v8i2.3173